{"id":44591,"date":"2024-10-25T18:50:09","date_gmt":"2024-10-25T18:50:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jornalboasnoticias.com.br\/home\/?p=44591"},"modified":"2024-10-25T18:50:09","modified_gmt":"2024-10-25T18:50:09","slug":"planeta-pode-aquecer-31oc-a-36oc-com-emissoes-de-gases","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jornalboasnoticias.com.br\/home\/planeta-pode-aquecer-31oc-a-36oc-com-emissoes-de-gases\/","title":{"rendered":"Planeta pode aquecer 3,1\u00baC a 3,6\u00baC com emiss\u00f5es de gases"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"header-noticia full-width\">\n<div>\n<figure id=\"attachment_44592\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-44592\" style=\"width: 1170px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-44592\" src=\"https:\/\/jornalboasnoticias.com.br\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/851a316f-8c82-4437-9199-0fba9f923164.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1170\" height=\"700\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jornalboasnoticias.com.br\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/851a316f-8c82-4437-9199-0fba9f923164.webp 1170w, https:\/\/jornalboasnoticias.com.br\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/851a316f-8c82-4437-9199-0fba9f923164-300x179.webp 300w, https:\/\/jornalboasnoticias.com.br\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/851a316f-8c82-4437-9199-0fba9f923164-1024x613.webp 1024w, https:\/\/jornalboasnoticias.com.br\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/851a316f-8c82-4437-9199-0fba9f923164-768x459.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1170px) 100vw, 1170px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-44592\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u00a9 Pol\u00edcia Federal\/MS<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div class=\"header-noticia full-width\">\n<div class=\"linha-fina-noticia\">Estudo foi publicado nesta quinta pela ONU<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div class=\"container-autoria\">\n<p>Manter o aquecimento global em 1,5 grau Celsius (\u00baC) ainda \u00e9 poss\u00edvel, mas para isso, os pa\u00edses precisam reduzir em 42% as atuais emiss\u00f5es de gases do efeito estufa, at\u00e9 2030, e 57%, at\u00e9 2035. A conclus\u00e3o \u00e9 do Relat\u00f3rio sobre Lacuna de Emiss\u00f5es 2024, divulgado pelo Programa das Na\u00e7\u00f5es Unidas para o Meio Ambiente (PNUMA), nessa quinta-feira (24).<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/ebc.png?id=1616904&amp;o=node\" \/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/ebc.gif?id=1616904&amp;o=node\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u201cA continua\u00e7\u00e3o do esfor\u00e7o de mitiga\u00e7\u00e3o com as atuais pol\u00edticas levam o aquecimento global a um m\u00e1ximo de 3,1\u00b0C ao longo do s\u00e9culo, com 66% de probabilidade, e ainda resta 10% de probabilidade de que o aquecimento possa exceder 3,6\u00b0C\u201d, destaca o relat\u00f3rio.<\/p>\n<p>O estudo aponta ainda que os compromissos assumidos pelos signat\u00e1rios do Acordo Paris, em suas Contribui\u00e7\u00f5es Nacionalmente Determinadas (NDCs) para 2030, n\u00e3o est\u00e3o sendo cumpridos. E tamb\u00e9m seriam insuficientes para alcan\u00e7ar a meta de manter a temperatura do planeta em 1,5 \u00baC acima do per\u00edodo pr\u00e9-industrial.<\/p>\n<p>De acordo com o relat\u00f3rio, o estrito cumprimento das NDCs at\u00e9 2030 ainda resultaria em uma eleva\u00e7\u00e3o de temperatura de 2,6 \u00baC. Esse cen\u00e1rio ocorreria com o cumprimento tanto das metas incondicionais, ou seja, que devem ser cumpridas obrigatoriamente, quanto das metas que foram condicionadas \u00e0 disponibilidade de financiamento internacional.<\/p>\n<p>A implementa\u00e7\u00e3o apenas das NDCs incondicionais levaria o mundo a temperaturas 2,8 \u00baC mais elevadas. J\u00e1 as atuais pol\u00edticas conduziriam o planeta a 3,1\u00b0C de aquecimento.<\/p>\n<h2>Tempo<\/h2>\n<p>Para o secret\u00e1rio-geral da Organiza\u00e7\u00e3o das Na\u00e7\u00f5es Unidas (ONU), Ant\u00f3nio Guterres, \u00e9 necess\u00e1rio agir agora, come\u00e7ando durante a pr\u00f3xima rodada de negocia\u00e7\u00f5es que ocorrer\u00e1 entre os dias 11 e 22 de novembro, na 29\u00aa Confer\u00eancia das Na\u00e7\u00f5es Unidas sobre Mudan\u00e7as Clim\u00e1ticas (COP29). \u201cEstamos sem tempo. Fechar a lacuna de emiss\u00f5es significa fechar a lacuna de ambi\u00e7\u00e3o, a lacuna de implementa\u00e7\u00e3o e a lacuna financeira\u201d, refor\u00e7a.<\/p>\n<p>O prazo m\u00e1ximo para a atualiza\u00e7\u00e3o das NDCs \u00e9 fevereiro de 2025, antes da 30\u00aa COP, que ocorrer\u00e1 em Bel\u00e9m do Par\u00e1, no Brasil. Nas novas metas, o ano de 2019 passa a ser a refer\u00eancia para os compromissos de emiss\u00f5es de gases do efeito estufa pelos pa\u00edses.<\/p>\n<p>Em um cen\u00e1rio com essa nova refer\u00eancia e para limitar o aquecimento global em menos de 2\u00baC, o relat\u00f3rio indica que as emiss\u00f5es precisariam cair 28% at\u00e9 2030 e 37% at\u00e9 2035. Os pesquisadores destacam ainda que as consequ\u00eancias no atraso das a\u00e7\u00f5es para viabilizar essa limita\u00e7\u00e3o j\u00e1 implicam em consequ\u00eancias que distanciam o planeta desse cen\u00e1rio, como o recorde de 57,1 gigatoneladas de CO\u2082 equivalente em emiss\u00f5es, atingido em 2023.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cH\u00e1 uma liga\u00e7\u00e3o direta entre o aumento das emiss\u00f5es e os desastres clim\u00e1ticos cada vez mais frequentes e intensos. Em todo o mundo, as pessoas est\u00e3o pagando um pre\u00e7o terr\u00edvel. Emiss\u00f5es recordes significam temperaturas marinhas recordes que potencializam furac\u00f5es monstruosos; o calor recorde est\u00e1 transformando as florestas em barris de p\u00f3lvora e as cidades em saunas; chuvas recordes est\u00e3o resultando em inunda\u00e7\u00f5es b\u00edblicas\u201d, alerta Guterres.<\/p>\n<h2>Caminhos<\/h2>\n<p>Al\u00e9m de apontar os cortes necess\u00e1rios nas emiss\u00f5es, o relat\u00f3rio indica ainda poss\u00edveis caminhos, como o potencial de redu\u00e7\u00e3o de 27% nas emiss\u00f5es em 2030 e 38% em 2035, com o incremento de tecnologias solar e e\u00f3lica na gera\u00e7\u00e3o de energia. Melhorar a gest\u00e3o de florestas, com redu\u00e7\u00e3o do desmatamento e aumento do reflorestamento tem potencial de reduzir as atuais emiss\u00f5es em 19% em 2030 e 20% em 2035, afirmam os pesquisadores.<\/p>\n<h2>Custo<\/h2>\n<p>Tamb\u00e9m foram calculados os investimentos necess\u00e1rios para financiar o caminho global at\u00e9 as emiss\u00f5es l\u00edquidas zero em 2050. De acordo com o relat\u00f3rio, seriam necess\u00e1rios US$ 0,9 a 2,1 trilh\u00f5es por ano, de 2021 a 2050, \u201co que \u00e9 substancial, mas administr\u00e1vel no contexto mais amplo da atual economia global e mercados financeiros de quase US$ 110 trilh\u00f5es mercados financeiros\u201d, destaca o relat\u00f3rio.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>(Ag\u00eancia Brasil)<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Estudo foi publicado nesta quinta pela ONU Manter o aquecimento global em 1,5 grau Celsius<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":44592,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44591","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-destaques","category-geral"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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